An Economic Analysis of Demand for Egyptian Exports of Orange Crop

Document Type : Original Research

Author

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Minia University, Egypt

Abstract

This research aims to estimate the Almost Ideal Demand Model for Egyptian exports of the orange crop by studying the current production situation of oranges in the world and Egypt, estimating the indicators of the competitive advantage of Egyptian oranges in its most important global markets, and studying the geographical distribution of the quantity and value of Egyptian exports of oranges in the most important global markets, in addition to estimate Almost Ideal Demand Model for the most important importing markets for Egyptian oranges during the period (2008-2022). In order to achieve the objectives of the research, some indicators of foreign trade for the orange crop were calculated, such as the apparent comparative advantage, the competitive advantage, the market share, the relative production, the export operations performance efficiency index, the export strength index, in addition to applying the semi-optimal demand model. The results showed that the value of the comparative advantage index increases about the correct one during that period, which means that there is a comparative advantage for Egypt's exports of oranges in the global markets, as it was found that the export prices of oranges in the State of Turkey are considered the lowest export prices of oranges in the global market, as the average price of exporting a ton of oranges was about $386.54/ tons, which represents about 54.83% of the average international price of oranges during the same period, which is about $705/ton.

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